Turkey to win 1.75
Turkey are the slight favourites and Arda Güler can be the difference, but Paraguay will make them work for it.
Turkey vs Paraguay 
World Cup 2026 Group D · June 20, 2026. Turkey are favourites, but Paraguay will have something to say about it. 15 days until kick-off.
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⚽ Our prediction
Turkey are slight favourites and Arda Güler should make the difference in a competitive game. Our call: Turkey to edge it, around 2-1.
Turkey vs Paraguay — match preview
Turkey meet Paraguay in Group D of the 2026 World Cup. Exciting young Turkish side built around Güler’s creativity.
Paraguay arrive with their own plan. Hardened by CONMEBOL qualifying — disciplined, physical, awkward to play. The match-up between Arda Güler and Miguel Almirón is the headline individual battle.
On paper Turkey have the stronger squad, but World Cup group games are rarely straightforward — the underdog only needs one moment, and the favourite carries the pressure of expectation.
Form, head-to-head and key players
| Turkey form | Turkey (solid / dark horse) — key man Arda Güler. |
|---|---|
| Paraguay form | Paraguay (outsider) — key man Miguel Almirón. |
| Head-to-head | Head-to-head history between Turkey and Paraguay is limited at World Cup level; recheck recent friendlies before kick-off. |
| Turkey key player | Arda Güler — Turkey's main attacking threat and most likely match-winner. |
| Paraguay key player | Miguel Almirón — Paraguay's standout player and chief source of goals. |
Turkey vs Paraguay odds — full market board
Pre-match odds snapshot across major books. Lines tighten 10–15% in the 24 hours before kick-off as line-ups confirm — recheck before placing. All odds decimal.
| Market | Odds | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Turkey win | 1.75 | Clear favourites on paper |
| Draw | 3.50 | Tournament openers can be cagey |
| Paraguay win | 4.80 | Live on the counter |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | Favourite chases a margin |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | Underdog sits deep |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 | Depends on the underdog’s ambition |
⚠️ Odds & the welcome bonus
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Best bets for Turkey vs Paraguay
Three picks where our read of the match gives the line value. Predictions are tipster forecasts, not guarantees — bet responsibly.
Both teams to score — NO 1.85
Turkey should edge it, and Paraguay may struggle to break them down — backing a one-sided scoreline carries value.
Arda Güler to score anytime 2.40
The most likely match-winner — Arda Güler is Turkey's main route to all three points.
FAQ — Turkey vs Paraguay
Who is the favourite for Turkey vs Paraguay?
Turkey are the favourites in this Group D fixture. Turkey are slight favourites and Arda Güler should make the difference in a competitive game. Our call: Turkey to edge it, around 2-1.
What is the best bet for Turkey vs Paraguay?
See our three best bets above — they reflect the value we see in the match-winner, goals and goalscorer markets based on the squads and likely game state.
When is Turkey vs Paraguay played?
The Group D fixture is part of the 2026 World Cup group stage. Re-check the official FIFA listing for the confirmed venue and exact local kick-off time before betting.
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Back to the World Cup 2026 hub · full schedule · outright odds.
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